Saturday, 19 December 2009
Copenhagen and Versailles(?)
Tuesday, 8 December 2009
Back to the future
The 19th century famously started with the French Revolution in 1879 and ended with the onset of the Great War in 1914. It was a century of hope, peace and progress. It saw liberal revolutions, the first attempts of democracy, the industrial revolution in Europe, an urban middle class paving the way for meritocracy over aristocracy and a globalised wave of free trade and free thoughts. And in the end the most advanced countries, industrially as well as culturally, went to war with one another and a generation of young men lost their lives on the fields Europe.
The decade of the 1990s were in many ways a rerun of the 19th century. It was in many ways a post-20th century decade. It kicked of with the Berlin wall being torn down in 1989 and it saw the spread of democracy, this time beyond the borders of Europe. Francis Fukuyama talked about the End of History and the victory of liberal democracy over all other forms of political systems, Boris Yeltsin made Russia part of the West and internet flattened the world and brought the most valuable commodity of all, information, to the poorest and most remote places of our planet. Utopia, here we come! Then came 11 September 2001.
The attacks on the World Trade Centre in New York and the Pentagon in Washington, D.C. were very much the starting point of this decade. They effectively ended the illusion of a liberal world order and brought us back into the age of rivalry. The Noughties haven’t only been the years of Islamic terrorism, although the people of London and Madrid have had their fair share. They have also been the years that ended the monopolar world of the Nineties, and brought back not the bipolarity of the Cold War and the 20th century, but rather the old multipolar system of Europe.
The 19th century, 1789-1914, was a long one. The 20th, 1914-1989, a short one. The 1990s, 1989-2001, was a long decade. There are those that argue that the election of Barack Obama as President of the United States and his subsequent reach-out to the Arab world represents the emergence of a new world order and thus that the Noughties ended in 2009. I am not one of those, I think neither he is Our Savior nor that he deserved the Nobel Peace Prize, but I shall not dwell further on this. History is easier to judge in hindsight and there is not often you can see, and realize that you’re seeing era-changing events in the happening.
The Noughties have been, in my eyes, a trip back to the future. In addition to the US and Russia, the superpowers of the 20th century, Brazil, India and China are stepping onto the plate as elite players. South Africa has successfully made the transition to democracy, although they have yet to have a change of government since the transition, is a role model for the rest of Africa and represents a leading voice of the global South. In Latin America Venezuela has taken the role of a leader, and together with Iran they reject the notion of liberal ideas as we see them in Western Europe. International politics is no longer about the fight between Communism and The Free World, as it was in the Cold War. Nor is it about spreading Human Rights and liberal ideas. We have returned to Realpolitik and the era of national interest, only on a larger scale. It is no longer the European states that fight among themselves over control and influence in other parts of the world. Rather, it is Europe as a whole that competes or cooperates with Russia, China, the US, Iran and other emerging powers over influence in places like Africa, Latin and South America, the Middle East and Central and South-East Asia. It’s back to normal.
I cannot see a single event marking the end of the Noughties. If Copenhagen is a success it might be the one. If the world leaders in Copenhagen manages to come to a responsible agreement that will actually lead the way into a green and sustainable future that will be the end of the Noughties and a realization of what we believed in in the Nineties. But I don’t think so. What I can see is the re-emerging of a world order where nations don’t have friends, only common interests. It is a world where countries like France and the UK, as well as my own Norway, must realize their limitations but also the potentials of constructive and institutionalized cooperation. It is a world were autocratic regimes, like Russia, China, Iran and Venezuela, together with the US and regional powers such as Brazil, India and South Africa will play leading roles, but were Europe, it acting as one and being aware of its potential can still take the lead. This is not the world for idealist, but rather for leaders like Bismarck and Kissinger.
Tuesday, 13 October 2009
Sir Humphrey vs. populism
Bernard to Sir Humphrey: - But the people want it!
Sir Humphrey: [calmly] Bernard, subsidy is for art, for culture. [almost furiously] It is not to be given to what the people want! It is for what the people don't want but ought to have! If they really want it they'll pay for it themselves!
So much for populist culture policies!
Monday, 7 September 2009
Young man, you should know this by now.
Wednesday, 26 August 2009
A Night at the Boleyn Ground
Three hours earlier I found myself at the Boleyn Tavern, trying to avoid having beer thrown at me. I was standing in a pub doing social-anthropologic field work on the 21st century tribes of working class England, or football supporters, as they’re also referred to as. I’d come to watch West Ham United take on Milwall in the second round of the Carlings League Cup, and was in the middle of a pre-game ritual including singing, shouting obscenities about their rivals and, of course, throwing half-filled plastic-cups of beer in the air. Abiding to the laws of gravity beer falls to the ground and at one point I found myself between the beer and the floor. Oops!
The match itself is worth remembering. Together with 24,491 others I was packed into the Boleyn Ground, or Upton Park as it’s usually known. A friend of mine from the area had gotten us tickets at the Bobby Moore Stand/South Bank, which was inhabited mostly with, from what I could see, fairly die-hard home supporters. For those not having an intimate knowledge of London football rivalries, myself included, Milwall is not very popular in this part of town, and long before the match began there was a heightened tension in the air.
Milwall is a few divisions below West Ham in the league system, so normally this should be a walk-in for the home team. It was far from it. West Ham got of to a decent start, but half-way into the first half Milwall took the lead. This seemed to knock the air out of the home squad, and for the next forty minutes or so, until only fifteen minutes remained of the match, there was not much to enjoy for the over 20,000 home supporters. They sang, they cheered, they shouted and they cursed, but for an outsider the entertainment was much more to be found on the stands than on the pitch. In the far end, where the Milwall supporters were gathered, things started to happen. From where I was standing, some 120 metres away, it was hard to tell exactly what was going on, but steadily more and more police and security guards gravitated towards the area, creating a solid blockade between the Milwall supporters and the pitch and between the supporters and the local majority. Then the bubble burst and the tension, for now at least, was released. With full time less than five minutes away West Ham equalized and crowds from three sides flooded the grass in a jubilant explosion, the guards unable to do anything but watch them in despair. It took a good five minutes or so before the pitch was cleared and the match could recommence.
Full time ended in a draw and early in the first extra half West Ham got a penalty shot. The guards braced themselves, only to find once again the pitch crowded as the home team taking the lead was celebrated. When the match finally ended, 3-1 to West Ham, once again the pitch filled with cheerful boys and girls, men and women celebrating.
After the match the streets were packed, people singing and shouting. As I walked to the tube I saw the police prepared for trubble but everything went smoothly all the way home. A night that could have ended so badly was just one long and joyful study of human interactions and turn of emotions. Then I watched the news this morning and saw what had happened after I left…
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SdJNu_KtA-4
Monday, 24 August 2009
Brick Lane
Tuesday, 2 June 2009
Ireland on the tracks towards Lisbon
Monday, 1 June 2009
Goodbye General Motors, welcome Government Motors
I'm glad GM finally went bankrupt. The company was unable to reinvent itself and its production line in accord with consumer trends, higher gas prices and the financial crisis and had as such no longer a right to survive in a capitalist society. With the American Government allowing the old GM to go bankrupt they send a clear signal to other car makers that unless they restructure and find their place in today's economy they as well might go bankrupt. Also, the new GM, trimmed down without many of its daughter companies, such as the European SAAB, Opel and Vauxhall and American Hummer, might emerge as an example of the lessons learned from the last years; focus on your core activity and understand that the old way is not necessarily the best way today. The downfall of GM might prove an excellent example of what Schumpeter described as creative destruction, that the innovation of some entrepreneurs, although driving the economy forward, in this case by producing more fuel efficient cars and having leaner business organisations, can destroy old and otherwise seemingly profitable companies. I believe GM's fall may prove to be a major step towards a cleaner, leaner and more efficient automobile industry.
I opened the last paragraph by stating that I am glad GM went bankrupt. This I stand by. Nevertheless, tens of thousand workers may, and probably will, loose their jobs because of the bankruptcy. Additional tens and tens of thousands of family members, people employed by GM's sub-contractors and so on will also be affected by this. Let us not forget that for these people GM's fall is not a good thing. Most of these people were highly qualified workers in a field in rapid change and they will need help and incentives to get back into the work market. Some of them will hopefully start their own businesses, and we need business- and employment laws that helps them along. Others need training and re-education and it is in society's interest that they get this. Not because we should be nice to these people, but because in the long run it is better to pay for their training and get them back as workers than to have them on unemployment schemes for a prolonged period.
A second point worth looking at is the Government's position. They will own 60% of the company. The Government used taxpayer's money to help GM and this is money the Government should ensure that they get back. After having helped GM back on its feet the Government should sell its shares an use the money for public goods, such as schooling and health care. However, the Government should not wait until GM is the world's biggest car producer again. They should sell as soon as possible.
But once again, GM went bankrupt because they were unable to adjust. This is Capitalism 101. Therefore I am glad they went bankrupt.
Saturday, 30 May 2009
When pollsters get it wrong.
One of the wonders of living in today's media society, especially if you're interested in politics and elections are due, is that you get a continuous stream of polls showing you movements in the electorate. Sometimes, however, pollsters get it wrong.
The pollster Synovate, polling for the Norwegian tabloid Dagbladet show in their newest poll that the Progress Party (Frp), a right-wing petro-populist, pseudo-libertarian/pseudo-social-democratic, slightly xenophobic party, goes from 25.2% to 20.6% in a month, the same month they had their national convention. In the same month the Socialist Party (SV), an anti-globalisation, anti-capitalism, anti-NATO, anti-EU, intellectual middleclass party, almost doubles their figures and goes from 6.4% to 11.1%
In itself, such dramatic changes in such a short time raise a few eye brows. What make it more interesting is the two parties in question. Had the change occurred between the Conservative Party and Frp it might have been explained by internal movement on the Right, as these two parties often exchange votes, and the Conservative Party had a very successful national convention as well this month. Had it been between SV and Labour, traditionally the biggest party in Norway and the uncontested Party of the Left, it might have been explained by the same reasons as for on the Right. Had the changes been in Frp and Labour, one on the Right and one on the Left, it would likewise had been fairly easy to explain, as these two parties often appeal to the same sociological voter segment. But between SV and Frp?!? Most Frp-voters would not dream of voting SV, and any good SV-voter would feel simply dirty by as much as thinking about voting Frp.
Looking at the other parties (Conservatives +0.5 to 14.5%, Liberals +1.5 to 5.4%, Christian Democrats back 1.4 to 5.9%, Communist +1.3 to 2.4% and Coastal Party +0.3 to 0.8)% there are overall quite a few significant changes, especially for the Liberals, Christian Democrats and Communists, who all have changes of about 1.5 percentage points.
No, this time until I see other polls showing the same tendency I cannot possibly believe this. Synovate, you got it wrong.
Wednesday, 22 April 2009
Would you like to pay more tax for better health care?
Thursday, 16 April 2009
Taliban: Fogh Muslim's No 1 enemy
Flanders vs. Norway

And for those of you who have a problem with scale, the total area of Belgium is 30.278 square kilometres, while Norway is a grand total of 307.442 square kilometres, or roughly ten times bigger.
Tuesday, 7 April 2009
EU ban on snus is illiberal and illegal
Belgian hygiene
Saturday, 14 March 2009
Happiness
Café Brant - 11.03.09
Half-an-hour ago the heat of the sun through the window forced me to lean back into the shadows. Now the road bricks are steadily turning dark and slippery from the rain, pouring down in uncontrollable waves. I look out and it rains. I turn my eyes down to the papers to write and when I look up again the rain has momentarily ceased. I look down to scribble down my observations and when I look out to confirm then the rain has once again commenced. The changes occurs faster than I manage to note down.
It's spring in Strasbourg and I'm back.
Monday, 9 March 2009
Globalisation in everyday brugeois life
Saturday, 7 March 2009
Norwegian Minister of Foreign Affairs declines any canditature for new NATO Secretary General
Although I believe that Mr Fogh Rasmussen will be an excellent Secretary General and I hope he gets the job, I am a bit disappointed by the news of Mr Støre's withdrawl. Mr Støre has an outstanding background for the job, including several high posts as well in national politics as well as in international organisations, he has proven an excellent capacity for coalition building and management, which he proved during the last phase of the Doha negociations, and he is a truly cosmopolitt who probably would be able to use his potential better in Bruxelles than in Oslo. Also, it should be mentioned, getting him out of Norwegian politics would be quite a blow to the Labour party, as he is by far the country's most popular politician. Despite his qualities, they are not enough for me to wish our Government a continued life after the elections
Friday, 6 March 2009
Physical Attacks on Politicians is just Plain Stupid
“She was so busy throwing what seemed like green soup or something in my face that she failed to tell me what the protest was about but, as you can see, thankfully it wasn’t paint and I’ve come through it intact.”There are two thoughts that comes to mind when I read this. The first concerns Lord Mandelson's reaction, and the second the choice of activism.
Three years ago, as a new centre-left (dubbed 'red-green') government had taken office in Norway, a young economics student showed is discontent with the announced policies of the new, and first, clear-cut socialist minister of finance, Ms Kristin Halvorsen, by planting a cake in the back of her had as she entered the Ministry of Finance building. Ms Halvorsen reacted by calling it an attack on democracy and claimed it was a step away from the openness of the Norwegian society, as she could no longer find herself able to walk to work. Police investigation commenced and the young student faced in a worse-case scenery up to 15 years of imprisonment for his 'attack on democracy". Lord Mandelson, on the other hand, reacts by dismissing the action against him as adolescent and states he is happy it wasn't paint. Scotland Yard, as well, unlike their Norwegian colleagues, downplays the incident, a spokesperson stating
"It's not a murder, it's just someone throwing a bit of paint. There's no investigation underway and no arrest. We would not take action unless we receive a complaint."This comment, together with the Secretary's statement should probably leave Ms Deen, unlike her Norwegian counterpart, out of fear for judicial prosecutions from the judiciary. The Secretary, by his reaction, clearly demonstrated how little influence pressure groups such as Plane Stupid have when they resort to actions such as this one against high-power office holders. Unlike her Norwegian counterpart, Ms Deen has been reduced to ridicule, with her actions labeled 'adolescent', effectively excluding her from the serious public debate. Ms Halvorsen, unlike Lord Mandelson, only managed to ridicule herself elevating a cake in the back of the head to that of a threat against the system, gave the young student a bit of a status as a hero.
My second comment is on the action in itself. I would assume that by stating my preferences for Lord Mandelson's reaction over those of Ms Halvorsen I have also given away my position on these sort of actions. In a democratic society violence by non-governmental actors have no place apart form in self-defence. We do not seek political aims by violent means. Both the cake against Ms Halvorsen and the cup of cornflower paste are harmless acts that pose no threat whatsoever to neither democracy nor the officials being the targets. Nevertheless, they have no place and they only serve to illuminate the lack of language and arguments of the 'attack's' proponents. We make decisions based on debate and information, not by physical means. These acts represents the mild extreme of a continuum which culminates in actions such as the 2005 Paris banlieu incidents, the Thessalonika 2008 demonstrations or the Seattle 2003 fighting, where masses of people, they be the 'mob', disillusioned and angry young men or well-educated middle-class youths with a need to rebel against their parents. In any case, any politician who gives in to whatever group makes the biggest uproar is weak and unfit for office. To seek to influence decision makers is legitimate. To meet with, have lunch with and by that trying to form the opinions of those in power should be encourage. These are all aspects of a vibrant, liberal, participatory democracy. Peaceful demonstration as a show of force and public opinion, as we saw in Europe in the winter/spring of 2003 against the Iraq war is yet another legitimate way of seeking influence. However, the moment any demonstration takes the step from being purely verbal and by presence, and enters into the territory of violence, however how insignificant, it has crossed a line and lost all legitimacy they once had.
Thursday, 5 March 2009
The Radical Right as seen from Bruges
I've gone off on a whim here, intending to focus on modern-day populist right-wing parties. It is a sad fact that while the far-right is being dominated by pulp, low-brow, angry young men, modernisation losers, under-educated unemployed victims of globalisation and modernisation, the contemporary radical left has the credibility of being represented by high-fly academics and other May-68 anachronisms, and low-educated voters on the left often vote moderately social-democratic. To specify, I am sorry for the fate of the former, but I am more scared by the choices of the latter.
Wednesday, 11 February 2009
The Second Coming
Tuesday, 20 January 2009
The Stig has been outed
I will not tell you who The Stig (apparently) is, for that you will have to follow the link. I just know that watching Top Gear will not be the same again.
The Stig, I miss you.